#FantasyTwitter certainly doesn't think so. Indianapolis Colts: Will Michael Pittman be a top-10 WR in 2022? He might not start the year with a full workload, but the freshness of his legs and his skill set relative to the team’s offensive identity are a recipe for sleeper success. Noting the volatility of the position and given that both RBs are being drafted within a round of each other, I’m in favor of stashing the rookie. Selected in the fourth round of last April’s draft and at 22-years-old, the upside is obvious. He doesn’t have long speed ( 4.59), and he’s never been a featured back (failed to top 17 touches over his college career), but he has demonstrated ability as a pass-catcher and impressed throughout the evaluation process. The rookie is a bowling-ball of a back (5-foot-10 and 224 pounds) who utilizes power and balance to steamroll defenders and gain yardage. On a recent episode of the Yahoo Fantasy Football Forecast, Matt Harmon and I discussed the likelihood of Mack being leapfrogged by Pierce mid-season. Given the potential possessed by Marlon Mack and Dameon Pierce, Hamilton should find success in that endeavor while virtual game managers mine for undetected gold. In fact, one of his primary objectives (outside of, of course, continuing to develop Davis Mills) is to improve the productivity of the backfield (which managed a league-low 3.4 YPC in 2021). Houston Texans: Who is the sneakiest sleeper on this roster?Īt +2500 odds to win the AFC South, it’s hard to imagine game script favoring Houston’s backfield, but that doesn’t mean that Pep Hamilton hasn’t been instructed to establish the run. Personally, I’d rather stack up on elite receiving talent and take a swing at an upstart runner with upside in the RB20 range than select Henry with a top-five draft pick. However, in 2021 he hit an all-time low - likely foreshadowing what’s to come in 2022. Adding insult to injury, Henry’s broken tackle percentage has steadily declined since 2017. Nearly every recognizable fantasy producer manages double-digit numbers.īut Henry was sandwiched between Saquon Barkley ( RB35 FPTS/gm) and Myles Gaskin ( RB42 FPTS/gm) with a BMT% of 9.6 percent (150 carry minimum). As Mike Tanier of Football Outsiders explains, most upper-echelon fantasy backs record a BMT% in the mid to high teens (ex: Jonathan Taylor managed a BMT% of 16.3%). Kudos to Dalton Del Don for mentioning Henry’s BMT percentage (a metric created by Sports Info Solutions that measures Broken Tackles plus Missed Tackles per Attempt) on the Yahoo Fantasy Forecast. ![]() Yet, there’s an even more intriguing stat - from before the injury - that has me fading the Titans RB1. After all, he averaged just 3.1 YPC the last time he was on the field. Coming off a season with an RB43 True Yards Per Carry ( 4.0), Tennessee’s lack of dynamism doesn’t figure to boost his efficiency. And he’s on a team that will feed him, but is devoid of field stretchers. ![]() ![]() This is a back with over 1,400 pro carries to his name. To view this content, you'll need to update your privacy settings.
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